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Tuesday, January 19, 2010

M1 FY09 Results

M1's FY09 results was released today. Here is the rundown on the KPI of M1's results. All figures given are in SGD '000

KPIs

Revenue decreased by 2.4%, with a 6% drop YOY for Mobile Telecommunications and International Call services sector. Handset Sales YOY increased by 30%, from 62,122 to 80,900. Mobile Telecommunications services accounted for 72% of total revenue, with handset sales accounting for 10% of total sales.

Operating Expenses accounted for 77% of total sales, up 1% from 2008. Operating Profit decreased 6% from 2008, while Net Profit remained constant at 150,300. EBITDA experienced a 2% YOY decrease.

Leverage decreased to 2.27, however debt increased by approximately 1,000 to 581,300. ROE was 0.59, a decrease from 0.67. P/B ratio increased to 6.60 from 5.69.

Final dividend of 7.2cents were declared, giving a dividend yield of 7%. Dividend EPS ratio dropped to 80% from 86% in 2008

Total customer base increased by 40,000, aided by a 19,000 increase of postpaid customers.

Valuation of the Company

P/E of the company was 11. Based on the the projected EPS of Singtel and Starhub, M1 is fairly valued at approximately SGD1.87 to SGD1.92 per share. I believe that M1 is currently overvalued at its trading price as of today. My target price would be SGD1.92/share

However, as M1 expands further into the broadband market, we have to be wary of extra startup costs incurred. As such, my current 12 month outlook on M1 is a HOLD.

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